Результаты исследований: Научные публикации в периодических изданиях › статья › Рецензирование
Assessment of probabilistic forecasts: Proper scoring rules and moments. / Tsyplakov, Alexander.
в: Applied Econometrics, Том 27, № 3, 01.01.2012, стр. 115-132.Результаты исследований: Научные публикации в периодических изданиях › статья › Рецензирование
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Assessment of probabilistic forecasts: Proper scoring rules and moments
AU - Tsyplakov, Alexander
N1 - Цыплаков А.А. Оценка качества вероятностных прогнозов: корректные скоринговые правила и моменты // Прикладная эконометрика. - 2012. - Т. 27. - № 3. - С. 115-132
PY - 2012/1/1
Y1 - 2012/1/1
N2 - The article provides an overview of probabilistic forecasting and discusses a theoretical approach to assessing the quality of density forecasts, based on proper scoring rules and moments. An artificial example of predicting second-order autoregression and an example of predicting RTSI stock index are used to try out this approach
AB - The article provides an overview of probabilistic forecasting and discusses a theoretical approach to assessing the quality of density forecasts, based on proper scoring rules and moments. An artificial example of predicting second-order autoregression and an example of predicting RTSI stock index are used to try out this approach
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85060739359&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - https://www.elibrary.ru/item.asp?id=17916365
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85060739359
VL - 27
SP - 115
EP - 132
JO - Applied Econometrics
JF - Applied Econometrics
SN - 1993-7601
IS - 3
ER -
ID: 24772923