Закономерности эколого-географического распределения дальневосточной бескрылой кобылки Prumna primnoa (Motschulsky, 1846) (Orthoptera: Acrididae: Melanoplinae)

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Закономерности эколого-географического распределения дальневосточной бескрылой кобылки Prumna primnoa (Motschulsky, 1846) (Orthoptera: Acrididae: Melanoplinae). / Sergeev, M. G.; Storozhenko, S. Yu.; Molodtsov, V. V. и др.

в: Kavkazskij Entomologiceskij Bulleten, Том 20, № 2, 2024, стр. 291-298.

Результаты исследований: Научные публикации в периодических изданиях › статья › Рецензирование

BibTeX

@article{4001ce62414640ffa7a92fe9f17679f9,

title = "Закономерности эколого-географического распределения дальневосточной бескрылой кобылки Prumna primnoa (Motschulsky, 1846) (Orthoptera: Acrididae: Melanoplinae)",

abstract = "Prumna primnoa (Motschulsky, 1846) is the species of the acridid subfamily Melanoplinae. The species is widely distributed across the temperate Asia and sometimes can damage different crops. The goals of this article are to characterize the actual distribution of the species, to generate species distribution models for the contemporary and future conditions and to estimate possible shifts in its distribution patterns. The modern range of the grasshopper P. primnoa is characterized by the data on its known localities. The species distribution models are generated on the basis of two approaches, namely the maximum entropy and the multidimensional ellipsoid envelope, and the set of bioclimatic variables. These models, especially the maximum entropy one, describe well the contemporary distribution of P. primnoa. The predictive contributions of bioclimatic variables and their significances were estimated. The hypothesis that as a result of global warming the areas of suitable conditions for the species will noticeably decline is proposed. In the future, the potential harmfulness of P. primnoa may be revealed in the agricultural landscapes of the Lower Amur region and Sakhalin Island, however, the general trend of possible shifts in the species distribution, namely decreasing of habitats, probably, number and abundance of local populations, may be evident for the main parts of the species range.",

keywords = "Eurasia, Prumna primnoa, ecomodelling, forecast, global warming, grasshopper, range, саранчовые, ареал, Евразия, экомоделирование, прогноз, глобальное потепление",

author = "Sergeev, {M. G.} and Storozhenko, {S. Yu.} and Molodtsov, {V. V.} and Zharkov, {V. D.} and Pashkova, {A. I.} and Shamychkova, {A. A.}",

note = "Исследования выполнены за счет гранта Российского научного фонда № 22-66-00031 (https://rscf.ru/ project/22-66-00031). Значительная часть исходных данных о точках нахождения видов (до 2019 года) собрана благодаря поддержке завершенного гранта РФФИ (16-04-00706). Закономерности эколого-географического распределения дальневосточной бескрылой кобылки Prumna primnoa (Motschulsky, 1846) (Orthoptera: Acrididae: Melanoplinae) / М. Г. Сергеев, С. Ю. Стороженко, В. В. Молодцов [и др.] // Кавказский энтомологический бюллетень. – 2024. – Т. 20, № 2. – С. 291-297. – DOI 10.5281/zenodo.14509527.",

year = "2024",

doi = "10.5281/zenodo.14509527",

language = "русский",

volume = "20",

pages = "291--298",

journal = "Kavkazskij Entomologiceskij Bulleten",

issn = "1814-3326",

publisher = "Southern Scientific Centre of the Russian Academy of Sciences",

number = "2",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Закономерности эколого-географического распределения дальневосточной бескрылой кобылки Prumna primnoa (Motschulsky, 1846) (Orthoptera: Acrididae: Melanoplinae)

AU - Sergeev, M. G.

AU - Storozhenko, S. Yu.

AU - Molodtsov, V. V.

AU - Zharkov, V. D.

AU - Pashkova, A. I.

AU - Shamychkova, A. A.

N1 - Исследования выполнены за счет гранта Российского научного фонда № 22-66-00031 (https://rscf.ru/ project/22-66-00031). Значительная часть исходных данных о точках нахождения видов (до 2019 года) собрана благодаря поддержке завершенного гранта РФФИ (16-04-00706). Закономерности эколого-географического распределения дальневосточной бескрылой кобылки Prumna primnoa (Motschulsky, 1846) (Orthoptera: Acrididae: Melanoplinae) / М. Г. Сергеев, С. Ю. Стороженко, В. В. Молодцов [и др.] // Кавказский энтомологический бюллетень. – 2024. – Т. 20, № 2. – С. 291-297. – DOI 10.5281/zenodo.14509527.

PY - 2024

Y1 - 2024

N2 - Prumna primnoa (Motschulsky, 1846) is the species of the acridid subfamily Melanoplinae. The species is widely distributed across the temperate Asia and sometimes can damage different crops. The goals of this article are to characterize the actual distribution of the species, to generate species distribution models for the contemporary and future conditions and to estimate possible shifts in its distribution patterns. The modern range of the grasshopper P. primnoa is characterized by the data on its known localities. The species distribution models are generated on the basis of two approaches, namely the maximum entropy and the multidimensional ellipsoid envelope, and the set of bioclimatic variables. These models, especially the maximum entropy one, describe well the contemporary distribution of P. primnoa. The predictive contributions of bioclimatic variables and their significances were estimated. The hypothesis that as a result of global warming the areas of suitable conditions for the species will noticeably decline is proposed. In the future, the potential harmfulness of P. primnoa may be revealed in the agricultural landscapes of the Lower Amur region and Sakhalin Island, however, the general trend of possible shifts in the species distribution, namely decreasing of habitats, probably, number and abundance of local populations, may be evident for the main parts of the species range.

AB - Prumna primnoa (Motschulsky, 1846) is the species of the acridid subfamily Melanoplinae. The species is widely distributed across the temperate Asia and sometimes can damage different crops. The goals of this article are to characterize the actual distribution of the species, to generate species distribution models for the contemporary and future conditions and to estimate possible shifts in its distribution patterns. The modern range of the grasshopper P. primnoa is characterized by the data on its known localities. The species distribution models are generated on the basis of two approaches, namely the maximum entropy and the multidimensional ellipsoid envelope, and the set of bioclimatic variables. These models, especially the maximum entropy one, describe well the contemporary distribution of P. primnoa. The predictive contributions of bioclimatic variables and their significances were estimated. The hypothesis that as a result of global warming the areas of suitable conditions for the species will noticeably decline is proposed. In the future, the potential harmfulness of P. primnoa may be revealed in the agricultural landscapes of the Lower Amur region and Sakhalin Island, however, the general trend of possible shifts in the species distribution, namely decreasing of habitats, probably, number and abundance of local populations, may be evident for the main parts of the species range.

KW - Eurasia

KW - Prumna primnoa

KW - ecomodelling

KW - forecast

KW - global warming

KW - grasshopper

KW - range

KW - саранчовые

KW - ареал

KW - Евразия

KW - экомоделирование

KW - прогноз

KW - глобальное потепление

UR - https://www.mendeley.com/catalogue/8051bd5f-9a16-398c-9f1f-18a43b3b1f8f/

UR - https://www.scopus.com/record/display.uri?eid=2-s2.0-105001826983&origin=inward&txGid=2f2cab9e2cfb6f6fd7307636e481081e

UR - https://www.elibrary.ru/item.asp?id=79558999

U2 - 10.5281/zenodo.14509527

DO - 10.5281/zenodo.14509527

M3 - статья

VL - 20

SP - 291

EP - 298

JO - Kavkazskij Entomologiceskij Bulleten

JF - Kavkazskij Entomologiceskij Bulleten

SN - 1814-3326

IS - 2

ER -

ID: 65196033