TY - JOUR

T1 - Forecast of regional structure of oil production in russia

AU - Filimonova, I. V.

AU - Nikitenko, S. M.

AU - Provornaya, I. V.

AU - Dzyuba, Yu

N1 - Publisher Copyright: © 2020, "Ore and Metals" Publishing house. All rights reserved. Copyright: Copyright 2020 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.

PY - 2020/1/1

Y1 - 2020/1/1

N2 - The article analyzes stable trends of change in the regional structure of oil production in Russia and in the world. The authors show the objective laws of the modern development in the global oil supply system—inter-fuel competition and regional differentiation of hydrocarbon production. The Russian and foreign researches in the area of the “resource curse” and “Dutch disease” are reviewed. The implemented retrospective analysis of oil production dynamics in Russia makes it possible to single out development stages in main oil and gas provinces and to identify determinant factors of the development intensity. The current state of the oil industry is considered with regard to the transformation of the global oil supply system. The authors highlight the features and causes of change in the regional structure of oil production in Russia in the traditional and new directions of economic development. The patterns of geographical displacement of oil extraction centers are analyzed, the stages of oil production expansion in the country are specified, and the deployment of the production capacities is determined: Northern Caucasus, Volga–Ural oil and gas province, Western Siberia, Eastern Siberia, Russian Far East, including the Sakhalin Island, and the Arctic. The authors pay special attention to the technologies of oil recovery. In this study, the stable trends of change in the volume of production drilling are revealed. The average daily production rates of wells, average drilling depth of production wells, oil extraction percentage and operating well stock in new fields with commissioning period not longer than 5 years are calculated. The future change in the geography of the Russian oil industry, as well as the main tasks of prospecting, exploration and development of oil reservoirs in the medium and long term are substantiated. The forecast of oil production in Russia up to 2040 with the differentiation by oil and gas basins is made.

AB - The article analyzes stable trends of change in the regional structure of oil production in Russia and in the world. The authors show the objective laws of the modern development in the global oil supply system—inter-fuel competition and regional differentiation of hydrocarbon production. The Russian and foreign researches in the area of the “resource curse” and “Dutch disease” are reviewed. The implemented retrospective analysis of oil production dynamics in Russia makes it possible to single out development stages in main oil and gas provinces and to identify determinant factors of the development intensity. The current state of the oil industry is considered with regard to the transformation of the global oil supply system. The authors highlight the features and causes of change in the regional structure of oil production in Russia in the traditional and new directions of economic development. The patterns of geographical displacement of oil extraction centers are analyzed, the stages of oil production expansion in the country are specified, and the deployment of the production capacities is determined: Northern Caucasus, Volga–Ural oil and gas province, Western Siberia, Eastern Siberia, Russian Far East, including the Sakhalin Island, and the Arctic. The authors pay special attention to the technologies of oil recovery. In this study, the stable trends of change in the volume of production drilling are revealed. The average daily production rates of wells, average drilling depth of production wells, oil extraction percentage and operating well stock in new fields with commissioning period not longer than 5 years are calculated. The future change in the geography of the Russian oil industry, as well as the main tasks of prospecting, exploration and development of oil reservoirs in the medium and long term are substantiated. The forecast of oil production in Russia up to 2040 with the differentiation by oil and gas basins is made.

KW - Arctic

KW - Bazhenov Formation

KW - Eastern Siberia

KW - Far East

KW - Inter-fuel competition

KW - Oil production forecast

KW - Regions

KW - Volga–Ural oil and gas province

KW - Western Siberia

KW - World oil supply system

KW - regions

KW - inter-fuel competition

KW - SHOCKS

KW - world oil supply system

KW - oil production forecast

KW - Volga-Ural oil and gas province

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85087657773&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.17580/em.2020.01.05

DO - 10.17580/em.2020.01.05

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:85087657773

VL - 2020

SP - 25

EP - 30

JO - Eurasian Mining

JF - Eurasian Mining

SN - 2072-0823

IS - 1

ER -